EUR/USD bias flipped 11 times to bearish on October 12, 2026
EUR/USD has hit a 2026 low and remains on the back foot, with headlines pointing to independent euro weakness linked to French debt, budget and bond concerns while the US dollar has gained momentum amid Eurozone weakness. The pair is consolidating near the lows with focus on France's budget situation and US CPI, against a backdrop of rising oil and mixed stocks.
Updated
The reading that day
BearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 11 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 03:51Weak bearish
- 05:11Neutral
- 06:01Weak bullish
- 06:41Bearish
- 07:16Weak bullish
- 07:31Weak bearish
- 08:06Bearish
- 14:12Neutral
- 16:12Bearish
- 19:43Weak bearish
- 20:53Bearish
Headlines (21)
First seen on October 12
- Euro holds gains above 1.1200 despite France’s bond turmoilFXStreet
- Why the OAT-Bund Spread Matters for the Eurobabypips.com
- French Debt Crisis Drags On: What EUR Traders Should Knowbabypips.com
- EUR/USD Price Forecast: Gets some relief from Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefireFXStreet
- Euro to Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Oversold, a Pause Possiblepoundsterlinglive.com
- US Dollar Gains Momentum Amid Eurozone Weakness and AI Risks. Forecast as of 12.10.2026LiteFinance
- FX Daily: Dollar holds gains as geopolitics heats upING Think
- Forex Today: US Dollar softens amid hopes of Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefireFXStreet
- Euro hovers near 17-month low against the British Pound as debt woes weighFXStreet
- Euro: Bearish sentiment persists into year-end against US Dollar – MUFGFXStreet
- Sterling today: Pound edges up, euro slips as Fed bets back dollarInvesting.com
- Euro consolidates around 1.1200, remains close to 17-month low vs bullish USDFXStreet
- G10 FX Talking: Independent euro weakness in playING Think
- FX Talking: Au revoir, euro bullsING Think
- EUR/USD consolidates at the lows as France's budget and US CPI remain in focusInvestingLive
- Euro remains on the back foot amid French debt concernsFXStreet
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 12 Oct: USD climbs, EURUSD hits a 2026 low as oil rises and stocks finish mixedInvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- Inflation target of 2% may not stop the next Fed rate freezeCryptoSlate
- France’s dilemma: protesters demand spending as markets require fiscal restraintThe Guardian
- CFTC Report: Euro and Aussie shorts expand amid diverging signalsFXStreet
- Fed’s Musalem says more rate hikes needed to reach 2% targetHellenic Shipping News
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 12 | ||
| Italian Trade Balance | EUR | |
| Bank Holiday | USD | |
| FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | USD | |
| German Buba Monthly Report | EUR | |
| German WPI m/m | EUR | |
| German 30-y Bond Auction | EUR | |
| Tuesday, October 13 | ||
| German Final CPI m/m | 0.6% | EUR |
| FOMC Member Waller Speaks | USD | |