Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) news & analysis

USD/JPY is the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Japanese yen, a major pair sensitive to interest-rate differentials.

Why is USD/JPY up or down today?

USD/JPY is hovering near levels that have previously prompted Japanese intervention, as renewed carry demand pressures the yen despite official warnings. The country's struggle to stem the currency's decline is compounded by BOJ rate-hike expectations, with reports of a possible September move, while US record stock highs and firm yields keep the dollar supported. These dynamics underscore the market's sensitivity to intervention risk and monetary policy divergence between Japan and the US.

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Upcoming economic events

  • 2026-08-16 — Prelim GDP Price Index y/y · forecast 2.3% · JPY
  • 2026-08-16 — Prelim GDP q/q · forecast 0.5% · JPY
  • 2026-08-17 — Tertiary Industry Activity m/m · forecast -0.9% · JPY
  • 2026-08-17 — Revised Industrial Production m/m · forecast 1.3% · JPY
  • 2026-08-17 — Empire State Manufacturing Index · forecast 10.6 · USD
  • 2026-08-17 — NAHB Housing Market Index · forecast 33 · USD
  • 2026-08-17 — TIC Long-Term Purchases · forecast 151.4B · USD
  • 2026-08-18 — ADP Weekly Employment Change · USD
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Frequently asked questions

What is USD/JPY?
USD/JPY is the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Japanese yen, showing how many yen one US dollar buys.
What moves USD/JPY?
The pair is especially sensitive to the interest-rate differential between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, US Treasury yields, and risk sentiment.
Why does USD/JPY track interest rates so closely?
Because Japanese interest rates have stayed very low for years, USD/JPY tends to move with the gap between US and Japanese government-bond yields; historically a wider gap has coincided with a stronger dollar against the yen.
Why is USD/JPY up or down today?
USD/JPY moves closely with the gap between US and Japanese government-bond yields and with risk sentiment, so a change in either can move it within a day. See the analysis at the top of this page for the current driver.

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Not investment advice. For informational purposes only.

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